Equipment finance was built on a single elegant premise: if the obligor stops paying, the lender takes the thing back, and the thing is worth something. Every instinct in the industry’s credit culture — advance rates, term-setting, documentation, the very confidence that lets it lend deep into the middle market — descends from that premise. The premise assumed the thing was made of steel.
A steadily growing share of the industry’s collateral is not. Software licenses, implementation services, subscription bundles, cloud commitments, training, and embedded intangibles now travel inside transactions still documented, priced, and provisioned as equipment deals. On many technology-adjacent programs, the soft share of financed cost has climbed from a rounding error to a third or more of the transaction — and in pure software and solution financing it is the transaction. The industry has responded, in the main, by not quite noticing: the paper flows through the same credit boxes, carries the same advance assumptions, and sits in portfolio reports under asset-class labels that describe the hardware fraction. The recovery data has noticed, and its verdict deserves a wider audience.